Wind is something else to watch. Notice lots of ensemble members from this morning's ECMWF model show rain around next Tuesday/Wednesday. Rain moves inland by late morning tomorrow; As that moisture rides over cold air in place, snow begins falling early afternoon from Bonneville Dam eastward to The Dalles and down into north-central Oregon (Dufur, Maupin). Christmas vacation so far has given us a mix of weather; from warm/mild rains to cool easterly wind. It's been 9 days since I last posted. The main message when looking at differing models/maps? 1-6" fell from Cascade Locks to The Dalles and down into north-central Oregon. Southern SES Regional Manager Mark Nelson said most of the calls were for flash flooding and water damage to houses. Mark Nelson. Each model is slightly different of course, but you get the idea...somewhere between 2-4" in the western valleys and 5-8" in the mountains! That's as opposed to a "meridional" flow which would lead to more north-south movement. The long Thanksgiving weekend is coming to a close this evening. Certified Broadcast Meteorologist Cheryl Nelson on WTKR-TV Norfolk, VA. Strange little no-snow zone around Lost Lake to Parkdale, apparently punching in a little warmer air aloft. Share to Twitter Share to Facebook Share to Pinterest. Confirmation comes from the ECMWF ensemble forecast of Portland snowfall the next two weeks (through Sunday the 28th). See forecast snow levels, based on 850mb temps off the ECMWF model. Again, the strongest I've seen of all this morning's runs. Snowpack is running a bit below average over and west of the Cascades. View the profiles of people named Mark Nelson. But just for fun, you can see what it's doing. 2011- Stormy November, Dry December. Biography. Astoria around 5" in just four days! I always remember the date 12-14-16. Hey Do My Job: Mark Nelsen teaches a spin class In tonight's "Hey Do My Job," chief meteorologist Ma, "The Columbia River Gorge is the only sea-level gap through the north-south Cascade Mountain range," said Mark Nelsen , chief meteorologist at KPTV Fo, KPTV-KPDX Broadcasting is planning to reduce the, KPTV-KPDX Broadcasting has partnered with, KPTV-KPDX Broadcasting has added information to its, KPTV-KPDX Broadcasting has announced it is, Bring The Weather Team To Your Class Room - KPTV - FOX 12, http://www.kptv.com/category/214053/bring-the-weather-to-your-class-room, http://www.kptv.com/category/280566/hey-do-my-job, The Toughest Places to Forecast Weather in the U.S. | Weather Underground, https://www.wunderground.com/news/toughest-weather-forecast-places-us. Swails, who has been a meteorologist for 41 years, has some reservations about discussing climate change in his weather forecasts because of "controversy" surrounding the topic. It didn't last long, and it warmed up in the hours following, but something quick/crazy like this could show up in the models just a few days ahead of time. That's basically a low level flow of very moist air that hits the Coast and Cascade ranges, squeezing out a lot of precipitation. In general we seem to be headed toward slightly colder systems after Sunday as upper-level heights lower next week. Will the upper-level ridge back to the west and allow some cold air to come down from the north, or do we go back into some sort of wet westerly flow? People celebrating Christmas in the South Island may need an indoor backup plan, with the weather forecast to be cool and wet. That's about what we need for lowland snow in onshore flow. My brief notes on each. Enjoy the rain later tonight and bright sunbreaks following the showers tomorrow afternoon. The layer of cold air isn't very thick and easterly gradient through the Gorge is weak. You can find me on Facebook as @marknelsenweather or Twitter as @MarkNelsenKPTV Also, we have a Northwest Weather Podcast. 2017- A boring November, dry ridging 1st half of December. Will we have a White Christmas this year? Ryan Beesley – Atlanta, GA Ryan is a weekend Meteorologist at Fox 5 Atlanta. Interesting... That's it for now, enjoy the rainy weather. Dale Merle Nelson (March 19, 1939 – February 1999) was a Canadian mass murderer who killed eight people (including five young children) and partially ate one victim in 1970 following a drinking binge and possible use of LSD. With 40 years of hard work and dedication to our industry, Mike Nelson has served 25 of those years as Colorado’s most trusted meteorologist and has proven to be a staple of our community. Expect one surge of southerly wind about this time tomorrow evening or a bit beyond, calm wind Tuesday, then a stronger surge sometime Tuesday night. Find contact's direct phone number, email address, work history, and more. Yes, this setup should produce 100 mph gusts on the steps of Vista House. For fun I looked back through the last 8 La Nina winters to see what happened. 26K likes. Facebook gives people the power to share and makes the world more open and connected. Some snow is again falling down to the passes right now, but a warmer system arrives Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. I don't see that in the cards. Jimmy Jones calls a Trail Blazers basketball game from Portland's Memorial Coliseum. The ECMWF ensemble 850mb temperature forecast shows almost no members below -6/-7, what we need to see to at least get snow down into the West Hills. It could be 1) A more typical La Niña pattern with cooler systems but still no valley snow, or 2) Colder arctic air slides south and really cools us off, with the chance of lowland snow. This is not the official KPTV weather site. Sure, we had a couple of windstorms at the coastline, but no gusts above 37 mph in Portland. A good chunk of the region has been drier than average over the last two months; somewhat unexpected in a La Niña winter. Yet the coldest of winter is more like February 1st once you get into the upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions. Just keep commenting over on the old blog postings. With almost constant onshore flow it'll be tough to get snow down to sea level over the next 10+ days. Not a single member tries for 2" or more snow. Enjoy your Christmas! Mark has 1 job listed on their profile. Mark Nelson, FOX 12’s Chief Meteorologist, has lived most of his life within a two-hour drive of Portland. https://www.youloveben.com/kptv-fox-news-12-with-mark-nelson The average salary for a Meteorologist is $57,626. Right now Mark is a Meteorologist at KPTV-FOX12. That's not to say we couldn't have something happen like what Puget Sound saw last week. Our 7 Day forecast for the Mt. The brand new IBM GRAF model (along with soon to be extinct RPM) thinks there will be no pool of cold air east of the Cascades and no snow anywhere near the Gorge. As of now the NWS does not have a flood watch OR any wind advisories/watches/warnings. At least in 2017-18 we had cold arctic air move south into the USA and give us a cold/icy/snowy Christmas. The 2017-18 winter, the second consecutive La Niña winter, brought warmer and drier than normal weather to Western Oregon, according to Mark Nelson, meteorologist at … As for snow, ECMWF has been looking like this for the past 4-5 days! It's a continuing train of weather systems moving west to east in a "zonal" flow. That said, anytime we get this much rain in just a couple days it's fair to expect some mudslides and/or landslides in spots. kgw evening news anchors, Yangcheng Evening News is a Chinese newspaper in the Standard Chinese language, national unified publication number CN44-0006 in Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. When the east wind layer is "squished" relatively low to the ground by the strong inversion, two things happen: 1) We don't get a widespread wind event like Labor Day, but most wind remains confined to central/east metro and the West Hills. When it is just to our north, we'll get a gusty southerly wind, especially if a "wave" moves along the front. That's due to the continuing cold Canadian airmasses moving south and thick snow cover reflecting much of that increasing solar insolation. I think 3-6" is a good bet in the mountains around us; this is similar to what we saw this last time around. This is our 3rd consecutive warm December. More of the same for at least the next 10-15 days. Although wintertime inversions in some valleys/basins have given cooler than average (Pendleton, Tri-Cities), Again, nothing too exciting. You see that trend continuing this first week of January. A real "marginal" event though. Merry Christmas! It's quite the message here...no significant gaps in the 24 hour precipitation from any of the ECMWF ensembles. JOHANNESBURG (AP) — Many South Africans swapped firecrackers for candles to mark New Year’s Eve amid COVID-19 restrictions including a nighttime curfew. ET. But 2 feet of snow fell up at Timberline Lodge (6,000') which stayed above the snow level most of the weekend. Several inches in Hood River and an inch or so at The Dalles. Mark Nelsen; Posted on Dec 17, 2020 December has been very mild and a … It has been WETTER than average across much of the PACNW, more so the farther north and west you go. A sudden surge of southerly wind should push up the coastline and Willamette Valley in the late afternoon & evening hours Christmas Day. Nothing interesting happens through tomorrow morning, except lingering areas of dense fog south of Portland metro and easterly wind gusts 50-70 mph at the west end of the Gorge. Got Wind? 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